It is shaping up to be the biggest in recorded history. But even if the El Niño currently heating up the waters off the coasts of Central and South America fails to make the record… Read More
Success and Style in Managed Futures
Markets change personality depending on the underlying emotions guiding them. At any given time, every single market is doing one of three things: going up in response to greed, going down due to fear or… Read More
Time to Re-enter Platinum / Gold Spread
Certain relationships in commodities demand attention – especially when they are out of whack. One of these is the price differential between gold and platinum. Both are “precious” metals, but platinum is much rarer. Miners… Read More
Investing in the New Gold: Protein
The need for food is unrelenting and universal. It has been the force behind mass migrations and wars. English cleric and scholar Thomas Malthus (1766-1834) was fascinated by the relationship between population and food. He… Read More
“Godzilla” El Niño Getting Stronger
The El Niño weather event BMTA examined in our last Alert (click here to re-read) is getting even stronger. Some scientists have increased the probability of a strong El Niño this year to 90%. Other… Read More
El Niño Power-Pak: How to Play Perhaps the Strongest Weather Event in Years
Nobody likes commodities right now. A strong dollar and weakness in China – the world’s largest commodity importer – have weighed heavily on nearly all things that come from the ground. But the thing the… Read More
How Low Will the Euro Go?
Europe and the euro are living on borrowed time. Greece may dominate the conversation now, but it is just a symptom of a larger, structural flaw that threatens the long-term survival of both the European… Read More
Bonds Are Almost Out of Gas…
Most analysts will agree that the “gas” or fuel behind the incredible 6-year rally in bonds (and equities!) is the Fed’s zero interest rate policy or ZIRP. ZIRP means that any cash invested in safe,… Read More
Exit Bullish Coffee Positions & Wait for Next Signal
Not every trade works out the way we expect. This is why we try to establish “risk points” before we enter a trade. While we still believe there are “2.75 billion reasons to buy coffee”,… Read More
2.75 Billion Reasons to Buy Coffee
Combine the populations of China, India and Indonesia and you get more than 2.75 billion reasons to be bullish coffee. Add in Vietnam, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and the rest of Asia and the numbers easily… Read More