10-Year Treasuries Testing Key Support

Covid cases are declining, and with them, the fear of another disruptive slowdown. Inflation is getting all the press – especially energy price inflation. This increases the odds that the Fed will follow through with… Read More

Weakness In Soy Is Opportunity to Get Long

Shortages and rising prices define today’s economic reality. Crude oil is up 106% since last October, and recently hit a 7-year high. Natural gas is up 131% and hit a 10-year high. Container ships are… Read More

Crude Going “Back to the Future”

OPEC and its big-producing ally, Russia, have masterfully managed the price of crude oil throughout the entire Covid crisis. Coordinated supply cuts fueled an incredible 1,084% gain in front-month WTI crude oil futures, which soared… Read More

The Pop in the Dollar Is An Opportunity to Get Short

Speed defines modern markets. Changes in sentiment manifest themselves instantly and get discounted by price movements almost as fast. 10-year Treasury Notes yielded 1.73% three months ago, confident that the trillions being pumped into the… Read More

“Good as Gold” Still Applies

Prices are rising. Crude is up over 100% from November. Corn, soybeans, cotton and coffee are soaring, with gains approaching 50% or more. Gasoline costs roughly $1.02 per gallon more than last June – just… Read More

Summer Sell-off in Grains?

Summer is right around the corner, and with it a “make-or-break” time for corn and soybeans. Prices tend to rise in spring planting season as traders and end users attempt to account for variables like… Read More

Will Rising Inflation Sink Slumping Bonds?

Inflation seems to be everywhere. Home prices are soaring. Key commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat are approaching contract highs. Lumber is setting new records almost by the day. The inability to source key computer… Read More