Get a Handle on Volatility: Diversify Your Portfolio

We live in volatile times. 2023 looks to be the hottest year on record. Historic droughts and “100-year” floods are almost commonplace, threatening global food supplies. The Russian blockade and destruction of Ukrainian ports are… Read More

Quiet Gas Market Is Not Natural

Volatility is the natural state for natural gas. Gas rallied 81%, declined 55%, rebounded 41%, and then declined another 80% in just nine months (June 2022 to February 2023). Its failure to do much in… Read More

Silver for Pennies-on-the-Dollar Update

“Why would anyone want to buy silver or gold, given their failure to rise in this inflationary environment?” We asked this question in the previous version of this report last September. Inflation should have made… Read More

Get Ready for a Rally in Crude Oil

Crude oil is volatile. It exploded 44% in the two weeks following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and then declined 28% in the two weeks after it. Crude sold off sharply with the first announcement of… Read More

Silver for Pennies-on-the-Dollar

Silver is known as “the poor man’s gold” because it has always been cheaper and more abundant than its yellow cousin. You will find approximately 19 times more silver in the earth’s crust than gold…. Read More

Treasury Notes Overdue for a Bounce

The current collapse in 10-year Treasury notes and the accompanying explosion in yields is breathtaking. We’ve been trading futures and options since 1984.  We cannot remember seeing anything like this in what is typically a… Read More

Euro Is on Sale

Heading to Europe this summer? You may be in for a pleasant surprise; the euro is on sale. At just 109.00 to the dollar, the euro is approaching lows made during the 2020 Covid collapse…. Read More

Contrarian Call in Corn

Weather and war are fueling powerful bull markets in corn. Huge amounts of North American corn are used to produce ethanol which is mixed into gasoline. What really intrigues us right now is the relationship… Read More

Downside Target Hit in T-Notes: Exit All Puts

The luck of the Irish came a day early yesterday. June T-note futures hit and then dipped below our most recent downside target of 124-00 before recovering after the Fed’s announcement of a 25-basis point… Read More