Volatility is the natural state for natural gas. Gas rallied 81%, declined 55%, rebounded 41%, and then declined another 80% in just nine months (June 2022 to February 2023). Its failure to do much in… Read More
Silver for Pennies-on-the-Dollar Update
“Why would anyone want to buy silver or gold, given their failure to rise in this inflationary environment?” We asked this question in the previous version of this report last September. Inflation should have made… Read More
Get Ready for a Rally in Crude Oil
Crude oil is volatile. It exploded 44% in the two weeks following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and then declined 28% in the two weeks after it. Crude sold off sharply with the first announcement of… Read More
Silver for Pennies-on-the-Dollar
Silver is known as “the poor man’s gold” because it has always been cheaper and more abundant than its yellow cousin. You will find approximately 19 times more silver in the earth’s crust than gold…. Read More
Treasury Notes Overdue for a Bounce
The current collapse in 10-year Treasury notes and the accompanying explosion in yields is breathtaking. We’ve been trading futures and options since 1984. We cannot remember seeing anything like this in what is typically a… Read More
Euro Is on Sale
Heading to Europe this summer? You may be in for a pleasant surprise; the euro is on sale. At just 109.00 to the dollar, the euro is approaching lows made during the 2020 Covid collapse…. Read More
Contrarian Call in Corn
Weather and war are fueling powerful bull markets in corn. Huge amounts of North American corn are used to produce ethanol which is mixed into gasoline. What really intrigues us right now is the relationship… Read More
Downside Target Hit in T-Notes: Exit All Puts
The luck of the Irish came a day early yesterday. June T-note futures hit and then dipped below our most recent downside target of 124-00 before recovering after the Fed’s announcement of a 25-basis point… Read More
Exit Half of March Bear Spreads In E-mini S&P
Fed tightening, war in Europe, skyrocketing energy prices: what else can be thrown at the S&P? The Nasdaq is already in bear market territory. Will the S&P 500 follow? With only 10 days left until… Read More
War Puts S&P Within Range of 4000 Target
The rumblings of war in Europe grow louder. Vladimir Putin’s decision to recognize the two breakaway provinces of Donetsk and Luhansk as independent territories adds to growing evidence of his determination to attack Ukraine. The… Read More