“Godzilla” El Niño Getting Stronger

The El Niño weather event BMTA examined in our last Alert (click here to re-read) is getting even stronger. Some scientists have increased the probability of a strong El Niño this year to 90%. Other… Read More

Silver Charts Look Good

Is silver finally bottoming? We believe it may be. RMB has been on alert for a bottom in silver since the beginning of the year when we recommended limited risk bullish spread positions using July… Read More

Time to Short Japanese Yen Again

     The short side of the Japanese yen was one of our favorite trades of 2014. The Japanese currency may be a lot lower now, but almost all the factors that fueled our bearishness… Read More

Time to Buy Protection in the S&P 500

We have been resisting the urge to short the US stock market all year for 3 reasons: 1) the market is in an uptrend; 2) low global interest rates mean stocks are still the only… Read More

Risk Point Hit In Coffee: Exit May Bull Spreads

Sometimes things don’t work out. The bullish chart setup in coffee we identified in Alert #2, was negated by yesterday’s second, consecutive, lower close below our risk point of $1.60 in the May contract. Global… Read More

Sugar Losing Sour Taste: Is It Time to Buy?

Drought in Brazil – the world’s #1 sugar producer – was the catalyst behind last week’s move higher in sugar. Dry conditions have caused production in the sugar-growing regions of Brazil to drop 7.4% compared… Read More

Take Some Cash Off the Table in T-Bonds

Last week was a good one for bond bears. December T-bond futures managed to close below the weekly uptrend line and shift momentum to the downside. However we need to see another lower close this… Read More

Euro, Yen, Hogs & T-Bond Updates

September has been very friendly to our bearish positions in both the euro and the Japanese yen. And while the jury is still out on our short positions in hogs and T-bonds, recent price action… Read More