Ten Year T-Note Low-Cost Contrarian Play

Interest rates measure the cost of money, which means they eventually help determine the cost of everything else.  In “normal” markets, the cost of money is determined by the market itself. But today’s interest rate… Read More

Silver Finally Breaks Out

Silver has busted out, slicing through its 2016 high of $21.23. The poor man’s gold took out our first upside target of $19.25 per ounce on July 9. It is now within a stone’s throw… Read More

Gasoline Running on Empty – Time to Exit Longs

Commodity markets often have seasonal tendencies due to planting cycles, weather and/or demand. Hog and cattle prices tend to peak in mid-summer during prime grilling season. Gasoline futures tend to peak in late spring or… Read More

Stock Rally Likely to Prove Ephemeral

There has been a lot of talk in the financial press about the shape of the COVID-19 recovery. “V” shapers view the huge 38% rally in the S&P 500 as predictive and a solid signal… Read More

Silver Soars & Posts Big Gains Versus Gold

Silver is finally gaining on gold, reversing nearly all of its richer cousin’s gains since silver’s coronavirus collapse. It took 125 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold barely a month ago. This… Read More

Beans Still a Bargain

Soybeans were a bargain when we wrote about them in early March. We believe they still are. Soybeans have labored under the deflationary conditions plaguing the rest of the agricultural commodity sector. COVID-19 is just… Read More